Insight

Waiting for Recession: M&A Trends in C&R

C&R firms have cash, but the Fed’s rate hikes to curb inflation have raised the chances of a recession and dampened M&A deal appetite.

With a recession looming, investors may be holding off making deals until 2023 when valuations are likely to be lower as stock prices continue to fall and future Fed interest rate policy is clearer. With many retailers acknowledging they have too much unsold inventory, and what they have is no longer top of mind for consumers, the holiday selling season could have a critical impact on company finances and determine which firms become viable M&A targets.

Some key takeaways:

Waiting for clarity: Both strategic and private equity investors have cash to make acquisitions, but they appear to be waiting for clarity on when the recession will start

Holiday sales may be key: With many stores overstocked with excess inventory, the holiday selling season will be important in knowing which companies may be takeover targets.

Private equity on the sidelines: PE acquisitions dropped substantially in Q3’22, possibly because the cost of leveraged buyouts increased, with investors waiting for lower valuations. But they must invest their funds within a short time period.

For the latest market trends and KPMG deal professionals’ view of what may lie ahead, download our full Q3’22.

Contact us

Kevin Martin

Kevin Martin

Deal Advisory Leader, Consumer & Retail, KPMG US

+1 571-635-4078
Julia Wilson

Julia Wilson

Principal, Advisory Strategy and ESG, KPMG US

+1 404-222-3511
Jamil Satchu

Jamil Satchu

Principal, Advisory, Strategy, KPMG US

+1 312-241-0628
Robert Gaida

Robert Gaida

Managing Director, KPMG Corporate Finance LLC

+1 617-988-6709
Sunder Ramakrishnan

Sunder Ramakrishnan

Principal, Advisory, Strategy, KPMG US

+1 212-739-6328
Robert Glowniak

Robert Glowniak

Managing Director, Advisory, KPMG US

+1 312-665-2614